3-7 noviembre 2025
Europe/Madrid timezone

Bayesian Hierarchical Model for cross calibration of hybrid air shower detectors

5 nov. 2025 16:00
15m
Room 2.1+2.2 (ADEIT)

Room 2.1+2.2

ADEIT

Talk Cosmic Rays Cosmic Rays

Ponente

Anton Prosekin (Institute of Physics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan)

Descripción

Energy calibration in indirect air shower detection presents a challenging problem due to the impossibility of controlled laboratory validation. Traditionally, hybrid measurements combining fluorescence detectors (FD) and surface detectors (SD) have relied on calibrating the SD using FD data, assuming that fluorescence measurements closely reflect the calorimetric principle. However, SD energy estimations depend on approximate empirical relationships or Monte Carlo simulations, both of which require reliable extrapolation beyond the limited energy range covered by high-statistics FD observations. Crucially, systematic uncertainties in fluorescence yield, invisible energy fraction, atmospheric conditions, detection efficiency, mass composition dependence, and proxy variable reconstruction are often overlooked or oversimplified, potentially introducing biases into calibration results and subsequent analyses. In this work, we introduce an unbinned Bayesian Hierarchical Model capable of integrating detection uncertainties event-by-event, ensuring unbiased calibration and systematic error propagation. Using toy simulations, we illustrate how common simplifications lead to biased outcomes and quantify the impact of detection and systematic uncertainties on energy calibration accuracy at ultra-high energies.

Autores primarios

Dr. Anatoli Fedynitch (Institute of Physics, Academia Sinica) Anton Prosekin (Institute of Physics, Academia Sinica, Taiwan) Dr. Kozo Fujisue (Institute of Physics, Academia Sinica)

Materiales de la presentación

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